Alex Zapata vs Juan Puig
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Mario Roberto Jiu Jitsu AcademyTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
If they win+25→ 1482
If they lose-23→ 1434
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex ZapataJuan Puig
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Zapata72%
Juan Puig 28%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Zapata a 72% favorite over Juan Puig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1457), separated by just 14 points.
Juan Puig enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Juan Puig 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.