Alex Zapata vs Pedro Paulo Rocha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record9-10-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Mario Roberto Jiu Jitsu AcademyTeamCacadores Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex ZapataPedro Paulo Rocha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Zapata63%
Pedro Paulo Rocha 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Zapata a 63% favorite over Pedro Paulo Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pedro Paulo Rocha's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1476), separated by just 5 points.
Pedro Paulo Rocha 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.