Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Zapata vs Rocky Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Rocky Lee
tw

Rocky Lee

4-6-0FeatherweightTaiwan BJJ Academy

1432Developing

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record4-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Mario Roberto Jiu Jitsu AcademyTeamBali MMA

What's at stake

Alex Zapata is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Rocky Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex ZapataNow 1471
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444
Rocky LeeNow 1432
If they win+18→ 1450
If they lose-14→ 1418

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.33
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
10%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex ZapataRocky Lee
14501500201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (75%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Zapata80%
Rocky Lee 20%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Zapata a 80% favorite over Rocky Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Alex Zapata holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1432, a 39-point edge.

Rocky Lee enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Rocky Lee 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.