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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Chavez vs Mateus Mendonça

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record11-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts Center· 1672 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander ChavezNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Mateus MendonçaNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.66
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
Not available
Strike defense
30%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.54
Not available
Takedown accuracy
27%
Not available
Takedown defense
56%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Alexander ChavezMateus Mendonça
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (45%)
3 (33%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Mateus Mendonça53%
Alexander Chavez 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mateus Mendonça a 53% favorite over Alexander Chavez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Chavez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1655), separated by just 2 points.

Alexander Chavez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mateus Mendonça 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.