Alexander Gustafsson vs Glover Teixeira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record33-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
79"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Alexander Gustafsson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1696
If they lose-10→ 1664
If they win+7→ 1818
If they lose-17→ 1794
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander GustafssonGlover Teixeira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Glover Teixeira61%
Alexander Gustafsson 39%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Glover Teixeira a 61% favorite over Alexander Gustafsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1674, a 137-point edge.
Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexander Gustafsson finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Glover Teixeira 85%.
Alexander Gustafsson and Glover Teixeira share 3 common opponents: Nikita Krylov, Anthony Smith and Jan Błachowicz.
Alexander Gustafsson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.