Alexander Gustafsson vs James Te Huna
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record16-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
79"Reach75,0"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamPirtek Athletic Allstars
What's at stake
Alexander Gustafsson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — James Te Huna carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1687
If they lose-19→ 1655
If they win+14→ 1624
If they lose-10→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander GustafssonJames Te Huna
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Gustafsson75%
James Te Huna 25%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Gustafsson a 75% favorite over James Te Huna in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Alexander Gustafsson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1610, a 64-point edge.
Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
James Te Huna enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexander Gustafsson finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, James Te Huna 81%.
Alexander Gustafsson and James Te Huna share 1 common opponent: Glover Teixeira.
Alexander Gustafsson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.