Alexander Gustafsson vs Jimi Manuwa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record17-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamKeddles Gym
What's at stake
Alexander Gustafsson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jimi Manuwa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1689
If they lose-17→ 1657
If they win+17→ 1674
If they lose-15→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander GustafssonJimi Manuwa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Gustafsson61%
Jimi Manuwa 39%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Gustafsson a 61% favorite over Jimi Manuwa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Alexander Gustafsson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1657, a 17-point edge.
Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jimi Manuwa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Alexander Gustafsson finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jimi Manuwa 94%.
Alexander Gustafsson and Jimi Manuwa share 2 common opponents: Jan Błachowicz and Anthony Johnson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.