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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Gustafsson vs Jimi Manuwa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jimi Manuwa
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Jimi Manuwa

“Poster Boy”

17-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1657Good

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record17-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamKeddles Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander GustafssonNow 1671
If they win+15→ 1686
If they lose-17→ 1654
Jimi ManuwaNow 1657
If they win+17→ 1674
If they lose-15→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.43
41%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.97
51%
Strike defense
49%
1.53
Takedown avg.
0.53
40%
Takedown accuracy
19%
84%
Takedown defense
71%
0.40
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Alexander GustafssonJimi Manuwa
165017001750201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
15 (88%)
3 (17%)
Submission
1 (6%)
4 (22%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Gustafsson60%
Jimi Manuwa 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Gustafsson a 60% favorite over Jimi Manuwa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1657), separated by just 14 points.

Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jimi Manuwa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Alexander Gustafsson finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jimi Manuwa 94%.

Alexander Gustafsson and Jimi Manuwa share 2 common opponents: Jan Błachowicz and Anthony Johnson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDEC · 2016
Jan Błachowicz
LossDEC · 2018
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2015
LossTKO (punches) · 2015
Anthony Johnson
LossKO/TKO · 2015