Alexander Gustafsson vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
79"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamRaty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
Nikita Krylov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alexander Gustafsson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1688
If they lose-15→ 1656
If they win+11→ 1701
If they lose-13→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander GustafssonNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nikita Krylov53%
Alexander Gustafsson 47%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 53% favorite over Alexander Gustafsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Nikita Krylov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1671, a 19-point edge.
Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexander Gustafsson finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Alexander Gustafsson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.