Alexander Gustafsson vs Shamil Gamzatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record14-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
79"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1670 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamRussian Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander GustafssonShamil Gamzatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Gustafsson66%
Shamil Gamzatov 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Gustafsson a 66% favorite over Shamil Gamzatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1669), separated by just 2 points.
Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Shamil Gamzatov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexander Gustafsson finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gamzatov 71%.
Alexander Gustafsson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.