Alexander Gustafsson vs Vladimir Matyushenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record27-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
79"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamVMAT
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander GustafssonVladimir Matyushenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Gustafsson60%
Vladimir Matyushenko 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Gustafsson a 60% favorite over Vladimir Matyushenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vladimir Matyushenko's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1684), separated by just 10 points.
Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexander Gustafsson finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Matyushenko 59%.
Alexander Gustafsson and Vladimir Matyushenko share 1 common opponent: Jon Jones.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.