Alexander Gustafsson vs Vladimir Matyushenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record27-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
79"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamVMAT
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1688
If they lose-15→ 1656
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander GustafssonVladimir Matyushenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Gustafsson70%
Vladimir Matyushenko 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Gustafsson a 70% favorite over Vladimir Matyushenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vladimir Matyushenko's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1684), separated by just 13 points.
Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexander Gustafsson finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Matyushenko 59%.
Alexander Gustafsson and Vladimir Matyushenko share 1 common opponent: Jon Jones.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.