Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Lööf vs Harris Sarmiento

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record36-26-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Vasteras Fight ClubTeamHawaii Elite MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander LööfNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Harris SarmientoNow 1564
If they win+12→ 1576
If they lose-12→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexander LööfHarris Sarmiento
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (14%)
6 (67%)
Decision
22 (61%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Lööf73%
Harris Sarmiento 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Lööf a 73% favorite over Harris Sarmiento in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1564), separated by just 2 points.

Harris Sarmiento enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Lööf finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Harris Sarmiento 39%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.