Alexander Matmuratov vs Alexandre Franca Nogueira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record18-6-3
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty TeamTeamPequeno Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander MatmuratovAlexandre Franca Nogueira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Matmuratov61%
Alexandre Franca Nogueira 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 61% favorite over Alexandre Franca Nogueira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexandre Franca Nogueira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1641), separated by just 3 points.
Alexandre Franca Nogueira enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Alexandre Franca Nogueira 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.