Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Andrew Holbrook

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'11"
-Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamIndy Boxing & Grappling

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Andrew HolbrookNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.20
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.85
TBD
Takedown accuracy
18%
TBD
Takedown defense
10%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.12

Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovAndrew Holbrook
16001650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
1 (5%)
Submission
9 (75%)
12 (63%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Matmuratov63%
Andrew Holbrook 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 63% favorite over Andrew Holbrook in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1652), separated by just 0 points.

Andrew Holbrook enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Andrew Holbrook 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.