Alexander Matmuratov vs Billy Evangelista
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record13-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Raty Team· 1670 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander MatmuratovBilly Evangelista
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Matmuratov65%
Billy Evangelista 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 65% favorite over Billy Evangelista in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Billy Evangelista's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1674), separated by just 1 points.
Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Billy Evangelista 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.