Alexander Matmuratov vs Evan Elder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamNick Diaz Academy· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander MatmuratovEvan Elder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evan Elder52%
Alexander Matmuratov 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Elder a 52% favorite over Alexander Matmuratov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Matmuratov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Evan Elder 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.