Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Ismael Bonfim

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record20-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamCerrado MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1662
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650
Ismael BonfimNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.51
Not available
Strike accuracy
54%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.71
Not available
Strike defense
65%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.06
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
77%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovIsmael Bonfim
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
1 (5%)
Submission
4 (20%)
12 (63%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Ismael Bonfim52%
Alexander Matmuratov 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ismael Bonfim a 52% favorite over Alexander Matmuratov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Matmuratov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1662), separated by just 0 points.

Ismael Bonfim enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Ismael Bonfim 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.