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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Jesse Ronson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jesse Ronson
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Jesse Ronson

“The Body Snatcher”

28-12-0WelterweightBTC

1674Good

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record28-12-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach70"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Raty Team· 1670 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamAdrenaline Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1673
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
Jesse RonsonNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.54
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.39
Not available
Strike defense
57%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.46
Not available
Takedown accuracy
29%
Not available
Takedown defense
57%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.46

Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovJesse Ronson
16502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
13 (46%)
1 (5%)
Submission
11 (39%)
12 (63%)
Decision
4 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Matmuratov59%
Jesse Ronson 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 59% favorite over Jesse Ronson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Ronson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1674), separated by just 1 points.

Jesse Ronson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Ronson 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.