Alexander Matmuratov vs Jessin Ayari
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record16-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height6'0"
-Reach73,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamHammers Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander MatmuratovJessin Ayari
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Matmuratov60%
Jessin Ayari 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 60% favorite over Jessin Ayari in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Jessin Ayari enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Jessin Ayari 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.