Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Shaqueme Rock

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record11-3-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'0"
-Reach73"
155 lbsWeight161 lbs
Raty TeamTeamMonarchy MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Shaqueme RockNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
11%
TBD
Takedown defense
80%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovShaqueme Rock
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (5%)
Submission
8 (73%)
12 (63%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexander Matmuratov and Shaqueme Rock within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1640), separated by just 2 points.

Shaqueme Rock enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Shaqueme Rock 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.