Alexander Matmuratov vs TJ Grant
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record21-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamFit Plus
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander MatmuratovTJ Grant
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexander Matmuratov and TJ Grant within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.
TJ Grant enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, TJ Grant 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.