Alexander Munoz vs Cameron Graves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record14-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72.00Reach-
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamGracie Barra The Woodlands· 1522 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485
If they win+12→ 1523
If they lose-12→ 1499
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander MunozCameron Graves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Munoz51%
Cameron Graves 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Munoz a 51% favorite over Cameron Graves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cameron Graves's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1511), separated by just 2 points.
Cameron Graves enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexander Munoz finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Cameron Graves 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.