Alexander O'Sullivan vs Cole Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record21-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'1"
-Reach74,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
C-MACTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
If they win+12→ 1592
If they lose-12→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander O'SullivanCole Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander O'Sullivan67%
Cole Miller 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander O'Sullivan a 67% favorite over Cole Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1580), separated by just 0 points.
Cole Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexander O'Sullivan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Cole Miller 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.