Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander O'Sullivan vs Javier Vazquez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
C-MACTeamGracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander O'SullivanNow 1580
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
Javier VazquezNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.43
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.99
TBD
Strike defense
72%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.56
TBD
Takedown accuracy
52%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.49

Trajectory

Alexander O'SullivanJavier Vazquez
15001550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
2 (40%)
Submission
10 (63%)
2 (40%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander O'Sullivan51%
Javier Vazquez 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander O'Sullivan a 51% favorite over Javier Vazquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.

Alexander O'Sullivan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Javier Vazquez 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.