Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander O'Sullivan vs Manuel Gaxhja

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
C-MACTeamKops Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander O'SullivanNow 1580
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
Manuel GaxhjaNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexander O'SullivanManuel Gaxhja
16002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
2 (40%)
Submission
2 (29%)
2 (40%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander O'Sullivan51%
Manuel Gaxhja 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander O'Sullivan a 51% favorite over Manuel Gaxhja in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.

Manuel Gaxhja enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander O'Sullivan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Gaxhja 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.