AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Poppeck vs Brendan Schaub

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-6-0Record10-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight238 lbs
Munich Top TeamTeamReign MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander PoppeckNow 1672
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660
Brendan SchaubNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.01
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
58%
Strike accuracy
38%
9.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
33%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
2.32
0%
Takedown accuracy
46%
0%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Alexander PoppeckBrendan Schaub
1650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (65%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (10%)
6 (30%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendan Schaub58%
Alexander Poppeck 42%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Schaub a 58% favorite over Alexander Poppeck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1681), separated by just 9 points.

Brendan Schaub enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Poppeck finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Brendan Schaub 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.