Alexander Poppeck vs Damian Grabowski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-6-0Record22-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach41,0"
205 lbsWeight261 lbs
Munich Top TeamTeamLutadores Opole
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander PoppeckDamian Grabowski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Poppeck52%
Damian Grabowski 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Poppeck a 52% favorite over Damian Grabowski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damian Grabowski's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1682), separated by just 10 points.
Damian Grabowski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Poppeck finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Damian Grabowski 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.