Alexander Poppeck vs Jovan Leka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-5-0Record13-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
-Reach75"
205 lbsWeight259 lbs
Munich Top TeamTeamFamily Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1701
If they lose-17→ 1669
If they win+17→ 1692
If they lose-15→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander PoppeckJovan Leka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jovan Leka53%
Alexander Poppeck 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Jovan Leka a 53% favorite over Alexander Poppeck in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Poppeck's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1675), separated by just 11 points.
Alexander Poppeck enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jovan Leka enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Alexander Poppeck finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Jovan Leka 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.