Alexander Poppeck vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-6-0Record22-9-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight262 lbs
Munich Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander PoppeckMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Rogerio de Lima55%
Alexander Poppeck 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Rogerio de Lima a 55% favorite over Alexander Poppeck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.
Alexander Poppeck finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.