Alexander Poppeck vs Renan Ferreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-6-0Record13-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'8"
75"Reach85"
205 lbsWeight264 lbs
Munich Top TeamTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander PoppeckRenan Ferreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Poppeck60%
Renan Ferreira 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Poppeck a 60% favorite over Renan Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renan Ferreira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1673), separated by just 3 points.
Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexander Poppeck finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.
Renan Ferreira carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.