Alexander Sarnavskiy vs Babuli Tsoloev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
44-9-0Record9-0-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70.5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight185 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight Team· 1705 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Alexander Sarnavskiy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Babuli Tsoloev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1790
If they lose-16→ 1766
If they win+31→ 1705
If they lose-17→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander SarnavskiyBabuli Tsoloev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Sarnavskiy81%
Babuli Tsoloev 19%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Sarnavskiy a 81% favorite over Babuli Tsoloev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Alexander Sarnavskiy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1782 to 1674, a 108-point edge.
Alexander Sarnavskiy enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Babuli Tsoloev enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Alexander Sarnavskiy finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Babuli Tsoloev 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.