Alexander Sarnavskiy vs Gadzhi Rabadanov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
44-9-0Record28-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70.5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight Team· 1705 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1730 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1794
If they lose-12→ 1770
If they win+12→ 1801
If they lose-12→ 1777
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander SarnavskiyGadzhi Rabadanov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gadzhi Rabadanov62%
Alexander Sarnavskiy 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Gadzhi Rabadanov a 62% favorite over Alexander Sarnavskiy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1782 vs 1789), separated by just 7 points.
Alexander Sarnavskiy enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gadzhi Rabadanov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Sarnavskiy finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Gadzhi Rabadanov 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.