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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Schenk vs Francisco Hernandez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record6-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach-
148 lbsWeight149 lbs
Harris Holt Combat SportsTeamMMA Colombia

What's at stake

Francisco Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Alexander Schenk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander SchenkNow 1541
If they win+19→ 1560
If they lose-13→ 1528
Francisco HernandezNow 1617
If they win+19→ 1636
If they lose-29→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Alexander SchenkFrancisco Hernandez
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
2 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (44%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Hernandez53%
Alexander Schenk 47%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Hernandez a 53% favorite over Alexander Schenk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Francisco Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1541, a 76-point edge.

Francisco Hernandez enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alexander Schenk finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Hernandez 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.