Alexander Schenk vs Jeremy Stephens
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record29-23-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
71"Reach71"
148 lbsWeight155 lbs
Harris Holt Combat SportsTeamAlliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
If they win+12→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander SchenkJeremy Stephens
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Schenk66%
Jeremy Stephens 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Schenk a 66% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1554), separated by just 2 points.
Alexander Schenk enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexander Schenk finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.