Alexander Shabliy vs Gadzhi Rabadanov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-4-0Record28-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Peresvet Fight TeamTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1799
If they lose-12→ 1775
If they win+12→ 1797
If they lose-12→ 1773
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander ShabliyGadzhi Rabadanov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gadzhi Rabadanov61%
Alexander Shabliy 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gadzhi Rabadanov a 61% favorite over Alexander Shabliy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Shabliy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1787 vs 1785), separated by just 2 points.
Gadzhi Rabadanov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Shabliy finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Gadzhi Rabadanov 57%.
Alexander Shabliy and Gadzhi Rabadanov share 2 common opponents: Alfie Davis and Brent Primus.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2026
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2021
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2025