Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Shabliy vs Paddy Pimblett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-4-0Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach 73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Peresvet Fight TeamTeamNext Generation UK

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander ShabliyNow 1787
If they win+12→ 1799
If they lose-12→ 1775
Paddy PimblettNow 1795
If they win+12→ 1807
If they lose-12→ 1783

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.49
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.69
TBD
Takedown accuracy
21%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Alexander ShabliyPaddy Pimblett
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (48%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
7 (28%)
Submission
11 (46%)
6 (24%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexander Shabliy and Paddy Pimblett within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1787 vs 1795), separated by just 8 points.

Alexander Shabliy finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Pimblett 75%.

Paddy Pimblett carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.