Alexander Shabliy vs Quillan Salkilld
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-4-0Record13-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1799
If they lose-12→ 1775
If they win+16→ 1799
If they lose-16→ 1767
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander ShabliyQuillan Salkilld
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Quillan Salkilld61%
Alexander Shabliy 39%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Quillan Salkilld a 61% favorite over Alexander Shabliy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Shabliy's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1787 vs 1783), separated by just 4 points.
Quillan Salkilld enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alexander Shabliy finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Quillan Salkilld 77%.
Quillan Salkilld carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.