Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Shlemenko vs Christian Leroy Duncan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

68-17-1Record15-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
70"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight Team· 1683 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRange Martial Arts Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander ShlemenkoNow 1754
If they win+12→ 1766
If they lose-12→ 1742
Christian Leroy DuncanNow 1761
If they win+16→ 1777
If they lose-16→ 1745

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.45
Not available
Strike accuracy
58%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.43
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
58%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander ShlemenkoChristian Leroy Duncan
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

35 (51%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
13 (19%)
Submission
1 (7%)
20 (29%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Leroy Duncan77%
Alexander Shlemenko 23%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 77% favorite over Alexander Shlemenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1754 vs 1761), separated by just 7 points.

Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alexander Shlemenko finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Christian Leroy Duncan 73%.

Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.