Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Shlemenko vs Costello van Steenis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

68-17-1Record18-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
70"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight TeamTeamMMA Vlaardingen

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander ShlemenkoNow 1750
If they win+12→ 1762
If they lose-12→ 1738
Costello van SteenisNow 1752
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexander ShlemenkoCostello van Steenis
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

35 (51%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
13 (19%)
Submission
8 (47%)
20 (29%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Costello van Steenis71%
Alexander Shlemenko 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Costello van Steenis a 71% favorite over Alexander Shlemenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1752), separated by just 2 points.

Costello van Steenis enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Alexander Shlemenko finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Costello van Steenis 82%.

Costello van Steenis carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.