Alexander Shlemenko vs Derek Brunson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
68-17-1Record24-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
70"Reach77,0"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight Team· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1766
If they lose-12→ 1742
If they win+12→ 1768
If they lose-12→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander ShlemenkoDerek Brunson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derek Brunson60%
Alexander Shlemenko 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Derek Brunson a 60% favorite over Alexander Shlemenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1754 vs 1756), separated by just 2 points.
Alexander Shlemenko finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Derek Brunson 67%.
Derek Brunson carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.