Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Shlemenko vs Ronaldo Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

68-17-1Record26-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
70"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight TeamTeamFusion X-Cel Performance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander ShlemenkoNow 1750
If they win+12→ 1762
If they lose-12→ 1738
Ronaldo SouzaNow 1749
If they win+12→ 1761
If they lose-12→ 1737

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.53
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.57
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
TBD
Takedown defense
58%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.34

Trajectory

Alexander ShlemenkoRonaldo Souza
1750180020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

35 (51%)
KO/TKO
8 (31%)
13 (19%)
Submission
14 (54%)
20 (29%)
Decision
4 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Shlemenko70%
Ronaldo Souza 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Shlemenko a 70% favorite over Ronaldo Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1749), separated by just 1 points.

Ronaldo Souza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alexander Shlemenko finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Souza 85%.

Ronaldo Souza carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.