Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Treskin vs Andrew Craig

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Raty TeamTeamTeam Tooke

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander TreskinNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Andrew CraigNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.39
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.01
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.53
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
72%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander TreskinAndrew Craig
15501600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (11%)
4 (36%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Treskin70%
Andrew Craig 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Treskin a 70% favorite over Andrew Craig in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrew Craig's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1631), separated by just 3 points.

Alexander Treskin enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexander Treskin finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Andrew Craig 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.