Alexander Treskin vs Billy Ray Goff
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach72"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Raty Team· 1670 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamDexter MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander TreskinBilly Ray Goff
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Billy Ray Goff56%
Alexander Treskin 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Billy Ray Goff a 56% favorite over Alexander Treskin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Treskin's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.
Alexander Treskin enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Billy Ray Goff enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexander Treskin finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Billy Ray Goff 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.