Alexander Treskin vs Joe Ray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record14-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'11"
-Reach75.00"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Raty TeamTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander TreskinJoe Ray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Treskin70%
Joe Ray 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Treskin a 70% favorite over Joe Ray in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Ray's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1630), separated by just 2 points.
Alexander Treskin enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joe Ray enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Treskin finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Joe Ray 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.