Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Treskin vs Peace Nguphane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record9-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'11"
-Reach70.7"
157 lbsWeight168 lbs
Raty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamHouse of Tinkerbell

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander TreskinNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Peace NguphaneNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexander TreskinPeace Nguphane
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (11%)
4 (36%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexander Treskin and Peace Nguphane within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.

Alexander Treskin enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Peace Nguphane enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alexander Treskin finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Peace Nguphane 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.