Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Treskin vs Yoshiyuki Yoshida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record18-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Raty TeamTeamRight Thing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander TreskinNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Yoshiyuki YoshidaNow 1632
If they win+12→ 1644
If they lose-12→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.85
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.67
TBD
Strike defense
36%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.41
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
25%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.82

Trajectory

Alexander TreskinYoshiyuki Yoshida
1550160016501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
1 (9%)
Submission
6 (35%)
4 (36%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Treskin70%
Yoshiyuki Yoshida 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Treskin a 70% favorite over Yoshiyuki Yoshida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yoshiyuki Yoshida's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1632), separated by just 4 points.

Alexander Treskin enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alexander Treskin finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Yoshiyuki Yoshida 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.