Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Volkanovski vs Jeremy Kennedy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-4-0Record19-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
71″Reach71,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Freestyle Fighting Gym· 1735 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Alexander Volkanovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Kennedy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander VolkanovskiNow 1865
If they win+7→ 1872
If they lose-17→ 1848
Jeremy KennedyNow 1712
If they win+17→ 1729
If they lose-7→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1785 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.99
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
57%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
59%
Strike defense
47%
1.63
Takedown avg.
5.73
16%
Takedown accuracy
53%
69%
Takedown defense
67%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander VolkanovskiJeremy Kennedy
17001750180018502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (46%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
3 (11%)
Submission
2 (11%)
12 (43%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Volkanovski79%
Jeremy Kennedy 21%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkanovski a 79% favorite over Jeremy Kennedy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Alexander Volkanovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1865 to 1712, a 153-point edge.

Alexander Volkanovski enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jeremy Kennedy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Volkanovski finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Kennedy 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.