Alexander Volkanovski vs José Aldo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-4-0Record32-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
71″Reach70"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Freestyle Fighting GymTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Alexander Volkanovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — José Aldo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1874
If they lose-15→ 1850
If they win+15→ 1796
If they lose-9→ 1772
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1785 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1747 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkanovskiJosé Aldo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Volkanovski76%
José Aldo 24%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkanovski a 76% favorite over José Aldo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Alexander Volkanovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1865 to 1781, a 84-point edge.
Alexander Volkanovski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
José Aldo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexander Volkanovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, José Aldo 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.