Alexander Volkanovski vs Movlid Khaybulaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-4-0Record24-0-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
71″Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Freestyle Fighting GymTeamFight Nights Team
What's at stake
Alexander Volkanovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Movlid Khaybulaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1876
If they lose-13→ 1852
If they win+13→ 1853
If they lose-11→ 1829
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1785 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkanovskiMovlid Khaybulaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexander Volkanovski and Movlid Khaybulaev within a point of even.
Alexander Volkanovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1865 to 1840, a 25-point edge.
Alexander Volkanovski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Movlid Khaybulaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alexander Volkanovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Movlid Khaybulaev 42%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.