Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Volkanovski vs Movlid Khaybulaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-4-0Record24-0-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
71″Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Freestyle Fighting Gym· 1729 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFight Nights Team

What's at stake

Alexander Volkanovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Movlid Khaybulaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander VolkanovskiNow 1865
If they win+11→ 1876
If they lose-13→ 1852
Movlid KhaybulaevNow 1840
If they win+13→ 1853
If they lose-11→ 1829

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1785 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.99
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
57%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
1.63
Takedown avg.
Not available
16%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
69%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.20
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alexander VolkanovskiMovlid Khaybulaev
18001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (46%)
KO/TKO
6 (25%)
3 (11%)
Submission
4 (17%)
12 (43%)
Decision
14 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Volkanovski62%
Movlid Khaybulaev 38%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkanovski a 62% favorite over Movlid Khaybulaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Alexander Volkanovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1865 to 1840, a 25-point edge.

Alexander Volkanovski enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Movlid Khaybulaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Alexander Volkanovski finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Movlid Khaybulaev 42%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.