Alexander Volkanovski vs Shane Young
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-4-0Record13-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
71″ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight150 lbs
Freestyle Fighting GymTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Alexander Volkanovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Shane Young carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+4→ 1869
If they lose-20→ 1845
If they win+27→ 1611
If they lose-5→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1785 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkanovskiShane Young
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Volkanovski82%
Shane Young 18%Elo baseline: 83%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkanovski a 82% favorite over Shane Young in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (83%).
Alexander Volkanovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1865 to 1584, a 281-point edge.
Alexander Volkanovski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Shane Young enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexander Volkanovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Shane Young 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.