Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Volkov vs Alexandr Romanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

40-11-0Record18-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'2"
80"Reach75"
258 lbsWeight261 lbs
Strela TeamTeamLion Club

What's at stake

Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alexandr Romanov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander VolkovNow 1830
If they win+9→ 1839
If they lose-15→ 1815
Alexandr RomanovNow 1747
If they win+20→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1735

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.78
58%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
54%
Strike defense
54%
0.57
Takedown avg.
4.49
67%
Takedown accuracy
55%
69%
Takedown defense
29%
0.23
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Alexander VolkovAlexandr Romanov
1750180018502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

24 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
4 (10%)
Submission
9 (50%)
12 (30%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Volkov70%
Alexandr Romanov 30%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 70% favorite over Alexandr Romanov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1747, a 83-point edge.

Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Alexandr Romanov 83%.

Alexander Volkov and Alexandr Romanov share 2 common opponents: Jailton Almeida and Marcin Tybura.

Alexander Volkov carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (split) · 2025
Jailton Almeida
LossSubmission · 2024
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Marcin Tybura
LossDecision (majority) · 2022